Conflictvity Index

In the first half of 2016, there was a total of 936 incidents that fell underneath our dimension of State Response. Of these 936 incidents, 788 were categorised as Arrests/ Detentions, 127 as Raids and 21 as Dismantlement of explosives/ demining.
Beirut and Baalbeck had the highest intensity of State Response conflictivity in the first half of 2016. This can be attributed to many Arrest, Raid, and Dismantlement of explosives/demining incidents that occurred in these areas, countering defiance and/or opposition to central State Power and Governance such as Raids on the house of a suspected terrorist entity in Baalbeck.
During the first half of 2016, Akkar witnessed an intermediate level of State Response intensity with 78% State Response incidents categorised as Arrests made by Lebanese Security Forces such as the ISF, LAF, General Security, etc. Also, 41% of incidents in the State Response dimension classified as Power and Governance in Akkar were related to either Illicit Trade or Arms Smuggling.
The Conflictivity Index is a tool developed by Lebanon Support, in partnership with the United Nations Development Programme, based on the “Geo-located Mapping of Conflicts in Lebanon,” and using its data. Through the use of heat maps, the Conflictivity Index aims to give a broad overview of conflict intensity in Lebanon, focusing on 4 dimensions: Armed Conflict, Security, State Response, and Collective Action. Each dimension is comprised of a number of categories from the “Geo-located Mapping of Conflicts in Lebanon” and highlights the intensity of conflictuality associated with mapped incidents in each caza. To further explore each conflict incident category, refer to the “Geo-located Mapping of Conflicts in Lebanon.”


The State Response dimension encompasses conflict incidents involving state apparatuses’ responses. This dimension includes the categories of dismantlement of explosives, demining, arrests, and raids, and as such, reveals the intensity of state actions in response to security concerns. This dimension can thus carry a negative conflictivity index value (low intensity of conflict) since it may counter security threats.